Odds On Favorites For Oscars

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  1. In Hollywood is the odds on favorite to capture the Oscar this year. It previously won Best Picture awards at both the Golden Globes and Critics’ Choice Awards. In addition, Brad Pitt has won.
  2. While we rapidly approach the Golden Globes and rev up to Oscars season, the updated 2021 Golden Globe Awards odds in the big categories help hone in on who actually stands a chance of striking it big. Our 93rd Academy Awards tracker has kept us up to date on odds with nominees’ respective increase or decrease in probability and value.
  3. The 2020 Oscar nominees have been announced and with that, oddsmakers have had time to craft their predictions for the 92 nd Academy Awards ceremony. There are many distinctions to be scooped up, and among them Best Actor and Best Actress will certainly hog the limelight for a while.

Frances McDormand stars in writer-director-editor-co-producer Chloé Zhao’s contemporary western drama, ‘
Credit: Joshua Nomadland.’
Credit: Joshua Richardson/Searchlight Pictures

Odds On Favorites For Oscars Winners

Triumphantly overcoming adversity during the most serious times of peril is a major theme that the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) has always celebrated since it formed, and began honoring the best in cinema with their Oscar trophies, since it launched in 1927. This past year has undoubtedly proven that the Beverly Hills-based movie organization will not only celebrate characters who conquer their biggest challenges on screen, but also the filmmakers who have determinedly fought to keep their productions in development since the outbreak of COVID-19 last year.

While the film industry has been forced to contend with unprecedented challenges since America began its national quarantine last March, which forced movies to stop production and theaters to close for several months, Hollywood has been slowly but surely figuring out how to revitalize itself since the summer. Under strict protocols, movies have been able to resume filming, and theaters have begun to reopen. But the forced-but equally necessary-halt in production hasn’t stopped AMPAS from proceeding with its planned 93rd edition of the Academy Awards later this year.

This year’s Oscar presentation was originally scheduled to air on February 28, but was postponed by two months due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the movie industry. While in past years, AMPAS has required that all films that wish to be considered for nominations play in theaters for at least one week, the organization has modified its eligibility criteria this year; it’s allowing movies that initially intended to have a theatrical release but were instead ultimately released directly to digital platforms to also be considered.

The 93rd Academy Award show, which is now set to air live on Sunday, April 25 on ABC from the Dolby Theatre in Hollywood, will recognize excellence in cinematic achievement in films that were distributed between January 1, 2020, and February 28, 2021. There are several movies that critics are already buzzing about this Oscar season, which are leading the odds for Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor and Best Actress. Film fans can continuously track the 2021 Oscar odds here.

While the 2021 Academy Award ceremony is still three-and-a-half months away, the Best Picture category is already a tight competition. The highly critically acclaimed contemporary western, ‘Nomadland,’ which is scheduled to begin its theatrical release on February 19, is currently leading the odds to win the top honor at the Oscars. The drama’s odds at winning the Best Picture accolade at this year’s Academy Awards has drastically improved since it won the coveted Golden Lion award this past September, after it premiered at the Venice Film Festival.

‘Nomadland’ is being praised in large part for its production value from writer-direct-editor-co-producer, Chloé Zhao, who based the script on Jessica Bruder’s 2017 non-fiction book of the same name. The screen adaption is also being recognized for its standout and heartfelt lead performance from two-time Oscar winning actress, Frances McDormand, who portrays a woman who leaves her small town to travel around the American West.

Currently trailing far behind ‘Nomadland’ in the Best Picture category is the biopic, ‘Mank,’ which was directed by David Fincher, and is based on a screenplay by his late father, Jack Fincher. The movie chronicles screenwriter Herman J. Mankiewicz’s development of the script for the highly regarded drama, ‘Citizen Kane.’ Academy Award-winning actor, Gary Oldman portrays Mankiewicz in the drama, which has already received accolades from several film critics groups since it received a limited theatrical release on November 13, before beginning to stream on Netflix on December 4.

Odds

In addition to Best Picture, the Best Director category has also become a highly discussed topic. Chao has recently been pushed to the top of the odds of winning the Oscar statue, as the odds for early favorite Fincher shifted in the wrong direction from +113 to +265.

The Best Director race is garnering a lot of attention because if either filmmaker wins in the trophy, they’ll both make history. The ‘Nomadland’ helmer would be the second woman to ever win in the category, after Kathryn Bigelow previously took home the prize in the category in 2009 for her war thriller, ‘The Hurt Locker.’ The esteemed ‘Mank’ director was previously nominated in the same category in 2009 and 2011 for his previous dramas, ‘The Curious Case of Benjamin Button’ and ‘The Social Network.’

The Best Actor Academy Award race is also heating up, as Oscar-winning performer, Anthony Hopkins has emerged as the leading favorite for his turn as Anthony in the drama, ‘The Father.’ The actor, who was nominated in the Best Supporting Actor category last year for his role as Pope Benedict XVI in ‘The Two Popes,’ has seen his odds remain steady at +150 in his latest movie. ‘The Father’ was co-written and directed by Florian Zeller, and is scheduled to be released on February 26.

Hopkins is receiving the most competition from the late Chadwick Boseman for his turn as Levee Green in ‘Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom.’ The ‘Black Panther’ star’s final film performance has garnered posthumous critical acclaim since the feature was unveiled in a limited theatrical release on November 25, before it began to stream on Netflix on December 18. Boseman’s odds for winning the Oscar for his last drama, which was directed by George C. Wolfe, written by Ruben Santiago-Hudson and based on the play of the same name by August Wilson, currently stand at +300.

In the Best Actress category for this year’s Oscar ceremony, Boseman’s ‘Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom’ co-star, Viola Davis remains the favorite with average odds of +130. If the performer, who played the title character in the movie, wins the film industry’s top accolade for actresses, it will mark her second Academy Award win; she previously was honored in the Best Supporting Actress category in 2016 for the period drama, ‘Fences,’ which is also based on a play by Wilson.

Andra Day has also emerged as one of the favorites to win in the Best Actress category, with +500 odds for her portrayal of the title character in the upcoming biopic, ‘The United States vs Billie Holiday.’ The movie was directed by Lee Daniels and written by Suzan-Lori Parks, who based the script on Johann Hari’s 2015 book, ‘Chasing the Scream: The First and Last Days of the War on Drugs.’ The Grammy Award-nominated singer-songwriter is garnering praise for her live action feature film acting performance debut in the drama. Hulu announced yesterday that it has acquired the U.S. rights to the biographical feature, which it will premiere as a Hulu original film on February 26.

With 2020 being a challenging year for the movie industry as a whole, AMPAS will undoubtedly not only celebrate characters who conquer their biggest challenges on screen this year, but also the filmmakers who have determinedly fought to keep their productions in development since the outbreak of COVID-19. While the 93rd Academy Awards ceremony has been pushed back two months to accommodate the unprecedented change in distribution for many films, several breakout directors, performers and overall movies have already become clear frontrunners; ‘Nomadland’ and its helmer, as well as Hopkins and Davis, seem the most likely to hear their names called as the winners on the Dolby Theatre stage during this spring’s Oscar ceremony.

Odds On Favorites For Oscars 2020

2020

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Odds On Favorites For Oscars 2019

- Updated October 16, 2020 17:33:02

Academy Awards 'Oscars' Odds
Ammonite Be Nominated For Best- 93 Academy Awards
FractionalAmerican
No1/2-200
Yes3/2+150

Any Foreign Language Film To Win Best Picture
FractionalAmerican
No1/28-2800
Yes9/1+900

Bellie Eilish (No Time To Die) Win Best Orig. Song
FractionalAmerican
No5/6-120
Yes5/6-120

Best Actor - 93rd Academy Awards
FractionalAmerican
Eddie Redmayne8/1+800
Gary Oldman8/1+800
Robert Pattinson8/1+800
Tom Hanks5/1+500
Adam Driver14/1+1400
Chadwick Boseman14/1+1400
George Clooney14/1+1400
Matt Damon14/1+1400
Ben Affleck20/1+2000
Dave Bautista20/1+2000
Idris Elba20/1+2000
Javier Bardem25/1+2500
Timothy Chalamet28/1+2800
Bill Murray33/1+3300
Bradley Cooper33/1+3300
Josh Brolin33/1+3300
Oscar Isaac33/1+3300
Sasha Baron Cohen50/1+5000
Willem Dafoe50/1+5000
Chris Pratt66/1+6600
Jason Momoa66/1+6600
Russell Crowe66/1+6600
Tom Holland66/1+6600
Logan Lerman80/1+8000
Richard Jenkins100/1+10000

Best Actress - 93rd Academy Awards
FractionalAmerican
Viola Davis5/1+500
Amy Adams7/1+700
Glenn Close8/1+800
Meryl Streep8/1+800
Jessica Chastain10/1+1000
Jennifer Hudson16/1+1600
Annette Bening20/1+2000
Jodie Comer20/1+2000
Cate Blanchett22/1+2200
Frances Mcdormand22/1+2200
Octavia Spencer25/1+2500
Rachel Zegler25/1+2500
Renee Zellweger25/1+2500
Abigail Breslin33/1+3300
Kate Winslet33/1+3300
Nicole Kidman33/1+3300
Rooney Mara33/1+3300
Saoirse Ronan33/1+3300
Scarlet Johansson40/1+4000
Helen Mirren50/1+5000
Jennifer Aniston50/1+5000
Jennifer Lawrence50/1+5000
Judi Dench50/1+5000
Lady Gaga50/1+5000
Margot Robbie50/1+5000
Reese Witherspoon50/1+5000
Mindy Kaling80/1+8000
Rebel Wilson80/1+8000
Tilda Swinton80/1+8000
Tina Fey80/1+8000

Best Director - 93rd Academy Awards
FractionalAmerican
David Fincher - Mank1/2-200
Steven Spielberg - West Side Story3/2+150
Ridley Scott - The Last Duel7/1+700
Sofia Coppola - On The Rocks7/1+700
Aaron Sorkin - The Trial Of The Chicago 79/1+900

Best Picture Winner - 93rd Academy Awards
FractionalAmerican
Tenet8/1+800
Dune9/1+900
Mank9/1+900
Nightmare Alley 10/1+1000
The French Dispatch 10/1+1000
The Midnight Sky 10/1+1000
Deep Water 12/1+1200
News Of The World 12/1+1200
Stillwater12/1+1200
Bernstein14/1+1400
Da 5 Bloods 14/1+1400
Green Knight 14/1+1400
In The Heights 14/1+1400
Apollo 10½ 16/1+1600
Greyhound16/1+1600
The Last Duel 16/1+1600
Bios18/1+1800
Hillbilly Elegy 18/1+1800
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom 18/1+1800
Minari18/1+1800
Next Goal Wins 18/1+1800
West Side Story 18/1+1800
Annette20/1+2000
Barbie20/1+2000
I'm Thinking Of Ending Things 20/1+2000
King Richard 20/1+2000
Macbeth 20/1+2000
On The Rocks 20/1+2000
The Father 20/1+2000
Those Who Wish Me Dead 20/1+2000
C'mon C'mon 22/1+2200
Palm Springs 22/1+2200
Ammonite20/1+2000
Onward25/1+2500
The Invisible Man 25/1+2500
The Trial Of The Chicago 7 25/1+2500
Blonde28/1+2800
Cherry33/1+3300
Last Night In Soho 33/1+3300
Nomadland 33/1+3300
Promising Young Woman 33/1+3300
Respect33/1+3300
Soul33/1+3300
The Eyes Of Tammy Faye 33/1+3300
The Souvenir: Part Ii Wins 33/1+3300
The Woman In The Window 33/1+3300
Happiest Season 40/1+4000
Horse Girl 40/1+4000
Mulan40/1+4000
No Time To Die 40/1+4000
Shirley40/1+4000
The Devil All The Time 40/1+4000
The Falcon And The Winter Soldier 40/1+4000
Witches40/1+4000
Worth40/1+4000
Ironbark50/1+5000
The Hunting 50/1+5000
The King Of Staten Island 50/1+5000
The Last Thing He Wanted 50/1+5000
The Many Saints Of Newark 50/1+5000
The Way Back 50/1+5000
Underwater50/1+5000
Coming 2 America 66/1+6600
Death On The Nile 66/1+6600
Fantasy Island 66/1+6600
Quiet Place 2 66/1+6600
Run 66/1+6600
The Eternals 66/1+6600
Halloween Kills 80/1+8000
Harley Quinn: Birds Of Prey 80/1+8000
Sonic The Hedgehog 80/1+8000
Artemis Fowl 100/1+10000
Black Widow 100/1+10000
Dolittle100/1+10000
Fast And Furious 9 100/1+10000
Top Gun: Maverick 100/1+10000
Wonder Woman 1984 100/1+10000
Jungle Cruise 150/1+15000
Monster Hunter 150/1+15000
Morbius150/1+15000

Dune Be Nominated For Best Picture
FractionalAmerican
No10/13-130
Yes10/11-110

Foreign Lang. Film Be Nominated For Best Picture
FractionalAmerican
Yes2/5-250
No17/10+170

Same Film To Win Both The Best Direc And Best Pic.
FractionalAmerican
No5/9-180
Yes7/5+140

Steven Spielberg Be Nominated For Best Director
FractionalAmerican
Yes1/4-400
No5/2+250

Tenet Be Nominated For Best Picture
FractionalAmerican
Yes4/5-125
No20/23-115

The Trial Of The Chicago 7 Nominated For Best Pic.
FractionalAmerican
Yes5/8-160
No6/5+120

Who Will Be The Host For The 93rd Academy Awards
FractionalAmerican
No Official Host1/2-200
Kristen Wiig 7/1+700
Maya Rudolph 7/1+700
Amy Poehler 12/1+1200
Chris Rock 12/1+1200
Jimmy Kimmel 12/1+1200
Tina Fey 12/1+1200
Ellen Degeneres 16/1+1600
Kate Mckinnon 16/1+1600
Kevin Hart 16/1+1600
Ricky Gervais 16/1+1600
Steve Martin 16/1+1600
Andy Samberg 18/1+1800
The Rock 18/1+1800
John Mulaney 20/1+2000
Jon Stewart 20/1+2000
Tom Hanks 20/1+2000
Kumail Nanjiani 22/1+2200
Ryan Reynolds 25/1+2500
Trevor Noah 25/1+2500
Awkwafina33/1+3300
Billy Eichner 33/1+3300
Hugh Jackman 33/1+3300
John Oliver 33/1+3300

Will West Side Story Be Nominated For Best Picture
FractionalAmerican
Yes1/2-200
No3/2+150